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TRIMAS CORP (TRS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 delivered 8.8% revenue growth to $228.1M, driven by Packaging (+8.4%) and Aerospace (+22.3%) strength; adjusted EPS was $0.43, flat sequentially vs Q3 despite typical seasonal softness, highlighting improved operating execution .
  • Aerospace posted record bookings and backlog (> $350M) and a 450 bps YoY adjusted margin improvement; management guided to low double‑digit organic Aerospace growth in 2025, augmented by GMT Aerospace .
  • Specialty Products remained a headwind on destocking; Norris Cylinder cut structural costs and is positioned for margin uplift as demand normalizes in 2025; Arrow Engine divestiture was completed Jan 31, 2025 .
  • 2025 outlook: sales up 4%–6% and adjusted EPS $1.70–$1.85; portfolio optimization continues (GMT acquisition, Arrow sale). Near‑term catalysts: continued Aerospace conversion, packaging efficiency gains, and European footprint leverage via GMT Aerospace .
  • Wall Street consensus for Q4 2024 (EPS/revenue) was unavailable from S&P Global at time of pull; estimate comparison omitted (see Estimates Context) [GetEstimates error].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Aerospace revenue grew 22.3% YoY to $78.3M with adjusted operating margin up 450 bps; backlog exceeded $350M, supported by manufacturing excellence and commercial actions .
  • Packaging revenue rose 8.4% YoY to $123.1M; organic growth near 10% with >25% YoY strength in beauty/personal care and home care; adjusted margins resilient after IT cost reallocation .
  • Strategic portfolio moves: completed GMT Aerospace acquisition (≈€22M revenue, first European manufacturing site) and closed Arrow Engine sale, rebalancing exposure toward higher‑quality platforms .

Management quotes:

  • “In 2025, we expect continued strong sales in our Aerospace group… add the recently announced acquisition to our group.” — CEO Thomas Amato .
  • “Adjusted operating profit for [Packaging] was $15.7M or 12.8% of sales… operating margin would have been flat year-over-year at ~14.3%” — CFO Scott Mell .
  • “We have gained meaningful wallet share of future fastener sales to Airbus under a new multiyear contract… ramp up in 2026.” — CEO Thomas Amato .

What Went Wrong

  • Specialty Products revenue fell 16.8% YoY to $26.6M; lower fixed cost absorption pressured margins despite cost reductions at Norris Cylinder .
  • Consolidated operating profit fell YoY to $8.6M (from $11.6M) on Specialty weakness and higher SG&A; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.14 vs $0.19 in Q4’23 .
  • Packaging adjusted margin was lower YoY due to allocation of enterprise IT costs, FX, and higher depreciation; tariff uncertainty remains a headwind, with mitigation plans but potential earnings impact .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$240.5 $229.4 $228.1
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.27 $0.06 $0.14
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.43 $0.43 $0.43
Operating Profit ($USD Millions)$17.9 $8.3 $8.6
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$54.0 $51.7 $41.0
Gross Profit Margin (%)22.4% (54.0/240.5) 22.6% (51.7/229.4) 18.0% (41.0/228.1)

Additional comparisons:

  • Q4 YoY revenue: +8.8% vs $209.6M in Q4’23 .
  • Q4 QoQ revenue: −0.6% vs $229.4M in Q3’24 .
  • Adjusted operating profit ($M): Q2 $20.8, Q3 $22.7, Q4 $23.2, reflecting sequential improvement .

Segment breakdown (Q4):

SegmentQ4 2023 Sales ($M)Q4 2024 Sales ($M)YoY %Adjusted Operating Profit Q4 2024 ($M)
Packaging$113.6 $123.1 +8.4% $15.7
Aerospace$64.0 $78.3 +22.3% $10.9
Specialty Products$32.0 $26.6 −16.8% $0.8

KPIs and cash:

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Free Cash Flow (Adjusted, $M)$(2.8) $15.4 $16.8
Net Cash from Ops ($M)$21.3 (adj) $27.2 (adj) $31.7 (adj)
Capex ($M)$24.1 $11.9 $15.0
Net Debt ($M)$392.4 $383.0 $375.1
Aerospace Backlog ($M)N/AN/A>$350

Consensus vs results (Q4 2024):

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of retrieval; estimate comparison omitted (see Estimates Context) [GetEstimates error].

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY 2024$1.70–$1.90 (revised Jul 30, 2024) $1.70–$1.90 (reaffirmed Nov 4, 2024) Maintained
Sales GrowthFY 2025+4% to +6% vs 2024 Introduced
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY 2025$1.70–$1.85 Introduced
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025~$150–$165M (management target) Introduced
DividendOngoing$0.04/quarter paid; declared in Q3 $0.04/quarter paid in 2024 Maintained
Share RepurchasesAuthorization$67.6M remaining (Sep 30, 2024) $67.6M remaining (Dec 31, 2024) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Trend
Packaging demand & capacityStrong organic growth; bottlenecks in dispensers; IT cost allocation and prior-year nonrepeat items pressured margin Continued growth; bottlenecks easing; sequential margin improvement; seasonal Q4 caution Organic growth near 10%; >25% growth in beauty/home care; margin flat ex IT/FX/depr; 2025 GDP+ growth expected Improving conversion as capacity ramps
Aerospace recovery & backlog+30% sales; margin +730 bps YoY; investments in capacity Work stoppage resolved; backlog strong; minimal Boeing impact; maintaining margin targets +22% sales; record bookings/backlog >$350M; GMT adds Europe footprint; Airbus multi‑year contract ramps 2026 Strengthening; conversion improving
Specialty destocking (Norris)Sharply lower sales; cost actions; guidance reduced Destocking persists; sequential margin improvement; 2025 recovery expected YoY −16.8% sales; largest drag on Q4; structural cost cuts; flat-to-slightly up 1H’25, improving into 2H Bottoming; set up for recovery
Tariffs/macroNoted exposure; mitigating actions Boeing strike watch; minimal impact in Q3 Packaging exposed to higher U.S. China tariffs; near-term price recovery, long-term manufacturing relocation optionality Managing risk; contingency plans
Portfolio actionsAnnounced Arrow sale process GMT purchase agreement signed Arrow sale closed Jan 31, 2025; GMT acquisition completed Feb 17, 2025 Executing optimization
LeadershipCEO transition process underway; Spencer Stuart engaged In transition

Management Commentary

  • “We finished 2024 with robust organic sales growth within our Packaging and Aerospace groups… well positioned for improved conversion and operating leverage gains as we enter 2025.” — CEO Thomas Amato .
  • “Adjusted operating profit for [Packaging] was $15.7M or 12.8% of sales… operating margin would have been flat year-over-year at approximately 14.3%.” — CFO Scott Mell .
  • “Net sales for [Aerospace] increased by more than $14M or 22%… adjusted margin percentage improved 450 bps.” — CFO Scott Mell .
  • “Tariff changes… near-term mitigation on the commercial front; longer-term, we can relocate productive assets; that takes 12–18 months and is disruptive.” — CEO Thomas Amato .
  • “Norris Cylinder drag on operating income… just over $2.2M, translating to approximately $0.04 per share in the fourth quarter.” — CEO Thomas Amato .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin uplift expectations: Packaging +100–150 bps; Aerospace +150–200 bps; Norris Cylinder +100–150 bps in 2025 if sales meet expectations .
  • Tariff impacts: Near-term pricing actions captured; ability to relocate manufacturing longer term; uncertainty remains on timing/size of changes .
  • Packaging execution: Capacity additions, assembly lines and tooling refurbishments implemented; bottlenecks easing; IT allocations and expedited freight were transitory headwinds .
  • CEO search and governance: Board engaged a top search firm (Spencer Stuart); ongoing portfolio review to unlock value; intrinsic value seen in core platforms .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to an SPGI request limit at time of retrieval; therefore, numerical comparisons to Street estimates are omitted. Consider revisiting when SPGI access is restored [GetEstimates error].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Aerospace momentum is intact: strong backlog (> $350M), conversion improving, and GMT adds European manufacturing and Airbus wallet share; supports sustained revenue and margin expansion into 2025–2026 .
  • Packaging demand normalization with targeted capacity investments should unlock margin enhancement in 2025 despite tariff headwinds; watch GDP+ growth trajectory and mitigation execution .
  • Specialty headwinds are cyclical; structural cost reductions at Norris set the stage for operating leverage as destocking abates — an inflection could be a stock catalyst as 2H’25 approaches .
  • 2025 guide appears conservative given portfolio moves and pipeline; delivery against +4–6% sales and $1.70–$1.85 adjusted EPS will hinge on Aerospace conversion and Packaging efficiencies; upside from Airbus multi‑year contract ramp in 2026 .
  • Capital allocation remains shareholder‑friendly (buybacks, dividend) with net leverage at 2.6x and $239.8M of cash and revolver capacity; provides optionality for bolt‑ons in Packaging and Aerospace .
  • Near‑term trading: focus on margin cadence and tariff headlines; medium‑term thesis: portfolio quality mix shift (Aerospace/Packaging), European footprint, and efficiency gains drive EPS growth .

(Endnotes: All figures and statements are sourced from TriMas Q4 2024 press release and 8‑K, Q2/Q3 2024 earnings materials, and related press releases. Where margins are shown as percentages, they are computed directly from cited gross profit and sales figures.)